Global Markets Rebound Amid Recession Concerns

Global markets rebounded on Tuesday after a significant sell-off on Monday. Major indices like the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq showed gains while oil prices recovered. Fears of a U.S. recession were countered by central bankers. Currency and bond markets experienced fluctuations as investor confidence returned.

Equities around the world bounced back on Tuesday from the previous day's aggressive sell-off while Treasury yields rose and the dollar was slightly higher as investors ventured back into risk assets and central bankers countered recession fears. Oil prices settled higher on Tuesday after hitting multi-month lows on Monday, as investor attention turned to supply tightness while financial markets bounced back, easing worries about the outlook for energy demand.

Earlier the Nikkei's roughly 10% rebound in Tokyo brought some relief after the index's 12.4% drop on Monday kicked off a global rout with the Japanese benchmark's biggest one-day sell-off since the 1987 Black Monday crash. The S&P 500 had lost 3% on Monday, while the Nasdaq slumped 3.43%, extending a recent sell-off as fears of a possible U.S. recession spooked global markets.

U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers pushed back on Monday against the notion that weaker-than-expected July jobs data means the economy is in a recessionary freefall. Late on Monday San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said the jobs report leaves "a little more room for confidence that we're slowing but not falling off a cliff." But she said it was "extremely important" to keep the jobs market from falling over.

"The question investors are grappling with is whether we're hitting an economic air pocket or whether it's a head fake ... It was a single monthly jobs report so you'd want to be careful about reading too much in to it," said Scott Helfstein, head of investment strategy at Global X. "In the absence of economic data this week, what the market has to work through is whether we keep bouncing around or do we settle in and be patient for more information," he added.

On Wall Street at 2:53 p.m. EDT the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 730.78 points, or 1.89%, to 39,434.05. The S&P 500 rose 125.02 points, or 2.41%, to 5,311.35. The Nasdaq Composite rose 414.49 points, or 2.56%, to 16,614.57. MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose 15.59 points, or 2.05%, to 777.67, eying its biggest one-day percentage gain since late 2022. This was after the index fell more than 3% on Monday for its third straight day of losses.

Europe's STOXX 600 index earlier closed up 0.29% in a volatile session during which it fell as much as 0.54%. In currencies, the dollar recovered against major peers and the Japanese yen steadied around 7-month highs against the U.S. currency as some of the most striking moves of recent days reversed somewhat and a semblance of calm returned to markets.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, was up 0.08% at 102.95. Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened 0.71% to 145.19 while the euro fell 0.19% to $1.0931.

U.S. Treasury yields rose as fears that the U.S. economy is quickly entering a recession were seen as overdone, while safe-haven demand for U.S. bonds also ebbed as stocks recovered. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose 10.7 basis points to 3.89%, from 3.783% late on Monday.

The 30-year bond yield rose 10.4 basis points to 4.1749% from 4.071% late on Monday. The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, rose 10.6 basis points to 3.9915%, from 3.885% late on Monday.

Oil prices recovered after selling off on Monday. U.S. crude settled up 0.36% at $73.20 a barrel while Brent finished at $76.48 per barrel, up 0.24% on the day. In precious metals, gold prices fell as the dollar firmed and bond yields rose, although expectations of a U.S. rate cut in September and escalating Middle East tensions limited losses.

Spot gold lost 0.54% to $2,394.76 an ounce. U.S. gold futures fell 0.37% to $2,392.70 an ounce.

(With inputs from agencies.)