October Deluge: Can Farmers Weather the Storm?

India expects above-average rainfall in October, following unusually high volumes in the past three months, potentially damaging summer crops ready for harvesting. While the rains could disrupt the harvest of rice, cotton, and soybeans, they may enhance soil moisture for winter crops. The IMD's predictions have left farmers concerned.

India is bracing for above-average rainfall in October, adding to the unusually high volumes experienced over the past three months. A senior weather department official noted that these conditions could jeopardize the harvest of summer-sown crops.

Farmers are currently harvesting crops like rice, cotton, soybeans, corn, and pulses. October's projected heavy rainfall, exceeding 115% of the 50-year average, threatens to disrupt this critical period. Even September's above-average rainfall, attributed to a delayed monsoon withdrawal, had already caused damage in several regions.

The IMD reports that India received 11.6% more rainfall than average in September, following 9% and 15.3% above-average rainfall in July and August, respectively. The forecast of heavy rain in early October, when most harvesting activities occur, has alarmed farmers. However, the excess moisture may benefit winter-sown crops like wheat, rapeseed, and chickpeas. Monsoon withdrawal this year started nearly a week late but is expected to complete by mid-October.

India's June-September monsoon accounts for almost 70% of its annual rainfall, crucial for irrigating farms and replenishing water resources, forming the backbone of a $3.5 trillion economy. In October, temperatures across much of the country are likely to remain above normal, according to IMD Director-General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra.

(With inputs from agencies.)